Tarik Skubal and the Tigers’ $400 Million Decision

On paper, the Detroit Tigers should be thrilled. Tarik Skubal has turned into one of the best pitchers in baseball, putting together a dominant year that’s made him the clear ace of the staff. He’s posting Cy Young–caliber numbers, missing bats, limiting walks, and giving the Tigers a chance to win every time he’s on the mound. But with his contract talks heating up, Detroit now faces a massive question - how far are they willing to go to keep their guy?

The $250 Million Gap 

Reports say there’s roughly a $250 million difference between what Skubal’s camp wants and what the Tigers are offering. Skubal is expected to ask for at least $400 million, which would easily crush the Tigers’ biggest contract ever — nine years, $214 million to Prince Fielder back in 2012. It’s a staggering number, but that’s what it costs to keep an ace these days. With the Tigers showcasing at times an unwillingness to spend, it will be fascinating to see what their final offer will be.

A Star Entering His 30s

Skubal will be 29 next season, which is still in his prime but not young by long-term contract standards. He’s already had Tommy John surgery, so durability is always something to keep in mind. The stuff is electric, the command has improved, and he’s proven he can dominate, but for Detroit’s front office, the concern is simply how long he will be able to keep his play at a Cy Young level.

The Trade Temptation 

If the Tigers can’t get an extension done, they’d have to consider at least trading him. Teams like the Mets or Yankees would jump at the chance to land a top-of-the-rotation arm like Skubal, and the return could be massive — potentially high-end prospects and young MLB-ready players. That kind of package could reshape the franchise, but moving your ace is never an easy call.

Final Take 

If I’m the Tigers, I’d pay Skubal. With the team having made the ALDS in back-to-back years, and him being the face of the team, he's earned it. But I wouldn’t go past $450 million — anything higher is too much risk. If the two sides can’t find a middle ground, I’d seriously look into trading him while his value is sky-high.

Skubal’s the kind of arm you build around. The question is whether the Tigers will actually do it.